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Alphave

Event Intelligence

Event Intelligence records corporate and macro events for NSE-listed companies and measures what the price actually did afterwards. Each macro factor Alphave tracks — rates, currency, commodities, policy — carries the sectors it is expected to push up or down, and then, separately, the reaction that was observed: average efficacy over the following sessions, a hit rate, and the number of occurrences that figure rests on.

The measurement is the point. Any site can assert that a rate cut helps banks. Alphave marks whether that relationship has actually been measured on its own record, how often it held, and on how many occurrences — and labels the ones that have not been measured as exactly that, rather than presenting a curated belief as a finding.

Open Event Intelligence →The Event Intelligence workspace at /events needs a free account. The same event data surfaces without one on the charts, in the stock intelligence sidebar, and through Alpha AI when it explains a move.

What Event Intelligence does

A macro factor board with measured outcomes

Every factor Alphave tracks, the sectors it maps to with direction and strength, and — where there is enough history — the average price efficacy, the hit rate and the sample count behind it.

Three honesty states, never blurred

A factor is labelled measured, emerging or curated-only. Curated-only means the relationship is a stated expectation with no measurement behind it yet, and the page says so instead of implying evidence.

A dated corporate and macro calendar

Results, ex-dates, corporate actions and scheduled policy dates, forward and backward, clickable into the detail.

Per-stock event timelines

The events recorded against one company with the measured move that followed each — which is what turns "the stock fell 6%" into "the stock fell 6% on this filing".

Events marked on the chart

Corporate actions, results and filings are drawn on the candles that moved, so a gap in the price history has its cause attached.

Event-confirmed movers in the screener

Stocks whose move today is tied to a known event, kept separate from stocks that simply moved — including the predictions that missed, which stay visible.

How Event Intelligence works

Curated map first, measurement second, never merged

The expected impact of a factor on a sector is authored. The efficacy figure next to it is computed from what happened on the occurrences in Alphave's record. The two are stored and displayed as different things, so a belief can never be read as a result.

Direction-aware efficacy

A factor that is expected to hurt a sector scores well when the sector falls. Measuring the absolute size of a move would credit a thesis for being loudly wrong.

Sample size on the face of it

Every measured figure carries its occurrence count and the first and last event dates behind it. A 70% hit rate on six occurrences and a 70% hit rate on ninety are not the same claim, and the page never lets them look alike.

Misses stay on the record

Predictions that did not work are kept and shown alongside the ones that did. An accuracy number computed only over successes is not an accuracy number.

Who Event Intelligence is for

Example

How a factor reads

A currency factor will show the sectors it is mapped to with a direction — importers down, exporters up — and, beside that, whether Alphave has measured it: the average efficacy over the following sessions, how often the direction held, the number of occurrences and the date range they span. If the count is small the card says so, and the honest read is that the relationship is not yet established on this record. That is a different statement from "no relationship", and the page is careful to make only the one it can support.

Questions

How do I find out why an Indian stock moved today?
Look for an event before reaching for a narrative. Alphave records corporate and macro events against NSE-listed companies with the price reaction measured afterwards, marks them on the chart at the candle that moved, and separates stocks whose move is confirmed by a known event from stocks that simply moved. Where the cause is outside Alphave's own data, Alpha AI can search the live web for it with sources attached.
Do macro events reliably move the sectors they are supposed to?
Sometimes, and Alphave reports which. Each macro factor carries its curated sector map and, separately, the measured outcome on Alphave's own record — average efficacy, hit rate, and the number of occurrences behind it. Factors with too little history to measure are labelled curated-only rather than given an implied track record.
Where can I see upcoming results and ex-dates for Indian stocks?
Alphave's Event Intelligence carries a dated corporate and macro calendar — results, ex-dates, corporate actions and scheduled policy dates — and each entry opens into the detail, including that stock's own event history with the measured reaction to each past event.
Does Event Intelligence need an account?
Yes, the /events workspace needs a free account. Events also surface in places that do not: they are marked on the charts, they appear in the stock intelligence sidebar, and Alpha AI can read a stock's event history when it explains a move.

What Event Intelligence does not do

Coverage is the events Alphave has recorded for NSE-listed companies; it is not a complete register of every corporate disclosure. A measured efficacy figure describes what followed similar events in the past on a stated sample — it is not a forecast of the next one, and a small sample is labelled as such rather than rounded up into a claim. Nothing here is a recommendation to trade an event.

Open Event Intelligence

The Event Intelligence workspace at /events needs a free account. The same event data surfaces without one on the charts, in the stock intelligence sidebar, and through Alpha AI when it explains a move.

Informational only — not investment advice. Alphave is NISM-certified and is not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst. Market data is live during NSE trading hours; company financials are as filed by the company.